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R12 S4 Hard-Island / Soft-Interface Preregistration

Confirmed on 2026-07-19. Development exact programs are 96.92% versus 93.70% for frozen v1; confirmation is 97.80% versus 93.41%. Both causal controls score zero programs on both boards and every frozen gate passes. Full evidence is in R12 S4 HARD ISLAND SOFT INTERFACE RESULT.md.

R12_S4_HARD_ISLAND_SOFT_INTERFACE_PREREG.mdOpen original Markdown ↗

R12 S4 Hard-Island / Soft-Interface Preregistration

Status

Confirmed on 2026-07-19. Development exact programs are 96.92% versus 93.70% for frozen v1; confirmation is 97.80% versus 93.41%. Both causal controls score zero programs on both boards and every frozen gate passes. Full evidence is in R12_S4_HARD_ISLAND_SOFT_INTERFACE_RESULT.md.

Source was frozen at commit e9a962b before production seed selection, board generation, model evaluation, or score access.

Production seed 14465012970954709091 generated 2,048 rows / 512 matched groups after source freeze. All gates pass against source train/development and closed v2--v4 boards. Data, report, and read-only archive SHA-256 values are respectively 4d43b050892fc26a712e2c97414e84da3721c7949b98d8862b239e6b2f051c7a, 8b9461bc86771f50b4f72b58bda7e09286ab0ac3830175cc0f28540279db434f, and eec8ec5e277dd39791ce1816d175d979f465363718dcf9a1d429b242a151efe1.

Measured motivation

On fresh v4, monotone regions plus soft roster/query are causal but diffuse regional argument softmax reduces exact programs to 70.46%. On the same board frozen v1 reaches 95.70% when only its intro/query boundaries are replaced by gold, showing that hard event-role islands are the stronger argument representation. V5 combines these independently measured components without fitting.

Frozen mechanism

  1. Load raw Shohin 300k, frozen S4 v1 treatment parser, and locked exact S3.
  2. Discover kind anchors and monotone midpoint regions exactly as frozen v4.
  3. Within each region, enumerate complete contiguous argmax islands for frozen event.entity and event.literal roles.
  4. If more than one island exists, choose the island with maximum summed target-role logit minus best-other-role logit. Ties prefer the longer then earlier island. If none exists, fail closed.
  5. Convert the complete entity island to a uniform vocabulary histogram and match it by frozen cosine scale 20 against three full-sequence soft roster histograms.
  6. Mean frozen amount logits across the complete literal island. Recover query through the frozen full-sequence soft query interface. Execute only with locked S3.

No gold depth/span/identity/literal/query/answer, learned lexical table, fitted weight, fallback, or score-derived threshold exists. New trainable parameters are exactly zero.

Controls and custody

  • identical-board strict frozen-v1 baseline;
  • roster carrier rotation (1,2,0);
  • cyclic event-region assignment i+1 mod depth;
  • locked S3 gold sanity;
  • one production seed only after source commit;
  • 2,048 rows / 512 groups, depths 3--8;
  • zero exact, word-13-gram, nonce/name, factor, and roster-token-multiset overlap against source train/development and all closed v2--v4 fresh boards;
  • one serial evaluation; no repair/rescore after development access; confirmation inaccessible.

Frozen gates

Count >=98% overall and >=95% each depth; program >=95% overall and >=90% at depths 5--8; state and answer >=95%; query >=98%; roster >=95%; program >= frozen v1 plus one point; roster and region derangements each <=40% programs; S3 sanity; zero new trainable parameters; total <150M; development access one; confirmation access zero. All gates must pass before one new confirmation.

Passing is bounded known-atom parsing evidence, not unseen semantics, planning, learned halt, free-form reasoning, public benchmark improvement, novelty, or model promotion.